Seasonal Forecast for March - May 2014 for Rwanda

The Eastern Province ( Bugesera, Ngoma, Kirehe, Kayonza, Gatsibo, Nyagatare and Rwamagana districts) , Kigali City ( Kicukiro, Gasabo and  Nyarugenge districts) and some parts of the Southern Province (Kamonyi, Muhanga, Ruhango, Nyanza, Gisagara and Nyaruguru districts ) are expected to have a near normal rainfall season with tendency to below normal.

The Western Province (Rusizi, Nyamasheke, Karongi, Ngororero, Rutsiro, Nyabihu and Rubavu districts), some parts of the Southern Province (Nyamagabe district) and Northern Province (Gicumbi, Gakenke, Rurindo, Burera  and Musanze  districts ) are expected to have near normal to above normal rainfall.

The rainfall distribution is divided into three categories which are: above normal, normal and below normal according to the range of rainfall amounts: >400 mm; 300 -400 mm and <300mm respectively.

Rainfall Outlook Map March - May 2014


The normal to above normal rainfall expected during the March to May rainfall season may  cause floods and other related disasters such as landslides. Therefore relevant authorities responsible for infrastructures and other vulnerable installations should put in place both preventive and mitigating strategies to minimize loss of life and property