Seasonal Forecast for October - December 2014 for Rwanda

The Eastern province (Ngoma, Gatsibo, Bugesera, Kirehe, Rwamagana, Kayonza and Nyagatare), southern province (Kamonyi, Muhanga, Ruhango, Nyanza, Huye,Gisagara, Nyaruguru) and Kigali ( Nyarugenge, Kicukiro and Gasabo ) are expected to have normal rain tending to below norma rainfall.

The Western province (Rusizi, Nyamasheke, Karongi, Rubavu, Nyabihu and Ngororero) and Northern Province (Rulindo, Musanze, Bulera, Gicumbi and Gakenke) are expected to have near normal tending to above normal rainfall.

The rainfall distribution is divided into three categories which are: above normal, normal and below normal according to the range of rainfall amounts: >600 mm; 300 -500 mm and <300mm respectively.

Rainfall Outlook Map October - December 2014


The normal to above normal rainfall expected during the October to December rainfall season may cause floods and other related disasters such as landslides. Therefore relevant authorities responsible for infrastructures and other vulnerable installations should put in place both preventive and mitigating strategies to minimize loss of life and property